# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2025-03-28 · 15 words · K k:KXDJTCONF-25MAR28 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:42:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-03-28 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTCONF-25MAR28 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of Swearing-In Ceremony for the U.S. Attorney for New Jersey, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Justice	justice	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	yes
Law and order	law and order	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Rigged	rigged	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	no
Lawfare	lawfare	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Atlantic City	atlantic city	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Beautiful state	beautiful state	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Corrupt	corrupt	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Exonerated	exonerated	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Fake	fake	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Indictment	indictment	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Patriot	patriot	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Trenton	trenton	0	0			0.47	prior	yes