# Bernie Sanders (bernie-sanders) · interview 2025-10-16 · 26 words · K k:KXBERNIEMENTION-25OCT16 · as_of 2026-10-26T07:55:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-16 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBERNIEMENTION-25OCT16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of CNN Town Hall on October 15th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	3	3	1	YYY	0.64	hist	yes
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Worker	worker	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Tuition	tuition	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	yes
ICE	ice	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.42	hist	yes
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	4	0	0	nnnn	0.26	hist	no
Antifa	antifa	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Authoritarian	authoritarian	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Billionaire	billionaire	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Bipartisan	bipartisan	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Chicago	chicago	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Chuck / Schumer	chuck|schumer	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Continuing Resolution	continuing resolution	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Dictator	dictator	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Economy	economy	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Free Speech	free speech	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Hostage	hostage	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Immigrant	immigrant	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Midterm	midterm	0	0			0.45	prior	no
National Guard	national guard	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Oligarch	oligarch	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Paycheck to Paycheck	paycheck to paycheck	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Portland	portland	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Socialism / Socialist	socialism|socialist	0	0			0.45	prior	no