Will Microsoft say “Mistral”?

Microsoft said “Mistral” 2 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 27, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Microsoft saying “Mistral” has settled yet.

54%base rate for a new wordNext: Keynote, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Counts
named speaker only
Market
21¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Mistral

Probability
54% · prior
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 4:45Hear it 4:42, Satya Nadella In transcript

…to meet that need. Just last week, we announced a partnership with Mistral to bring its models to Microsoft Sovereign Cloud, enabling customers to run…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 6:12Hear it 6:06, Satya Nadella In transcript

…the cloud with over 11,000 models, including the latest from OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral, xAI, as well as our own MAI family. Since the start of…

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…OpenAI, DeepSeek, Meta, xAI's Grok and, very soon, Black Forest Labs and Mistral AI. We sim-shipped 15 models from OpenAI alone on Foundry this year,…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…latest models from OpenAI, along with new models from Cohere, DeepSeek, Meta, Mistral, Stability to Foundry. And we have expanded our Phi family of SLMs…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Mistral” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Mistral” 2 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Mistral’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/mistral (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=mistral · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP