ABC World News Tonight, October 27, 2026
On the Oct 27, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 8 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 17 of 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel / Netanyahu | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 39%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 74%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 55%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Jay-Z | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 71%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| King Tide | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NFL / Football | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 50%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 60%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Bugs Bunny / Looney Tunes | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Comey | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Justice Department / DOJ | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Obama | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cheesecake Factory | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Hunter Biden | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 28, 2026 02:33 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · ABC News (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
Where the listed words were said
…early voting already. Also breaking is there about to be a political earthquake in Israel for Netanyahu. And the major news tonight involving Ted Bundy.
…week until the midterm elections ABC's Jay O'Brien leading us off from Texas tonight. Tonight President Trump in Texas, his most visited state this campaign.
…people have already cast their ballots, a big jump from the last midterm Trump here to support the Republican in one of the nation's most…
Jay Z, who helps produce the Super Bowl halftime show, choosing himself to perform this year. And we remember Susan St. James, who played half…
…take an enormous effort, plus a potentially historic El Nino. It means there could be a threat of flooding all the way through the winter.
…Southern California, sending surging seawater into homes and businesses on both sides of the country. Florida's King Tides peaking today and tomorrow in Fort Lauderdale.
…Bowl halftime show, announcing the decision to this video on Monday Night Football. Jay-Z's entertainment company, Roc Nation, has produced the halftime show since 2019,…
…crucial time in U.S.-Israeli relations as both sides weigh renewed strikes against Iran. Matt Rivers live in Israel tonight. Matt, thank you. Meantime, back here…
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