What is the probability “King Tide” is said on World News Tonight next time?

50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “King Tide” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “King Tide” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 28, 2026, “King Tide” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 27, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 15, 2026 – Oct 27, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 09:34 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

King Tide

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: any host or reporter

2 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter7:18In transcript

…Southern California, sending surging seawater into homes and businesses on both sides of the country. Florida's King Tides peaking today and tomorrow in Fort Lauderdale.

Speaker not labelledreporter9:06In transcript

Hi, David. While that full moon is the main driver for the King Tides, we are seeing other contributing Trevor mentioned marine heatwave because of…