NYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026
In the week ending Sep 27, 2026, 7 of the 13 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 72%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Vote / Voter / Votes | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fear | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| World | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 54%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Tech | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gulf | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
3 matches for “World”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
AT U.N. ASSEMBLY, AGENDA REFLECTS A WORLD IN CRISIS
A Dispute From World War II
Meeting at White House Masks Rift Between World Powers
Where the listed words were said
Amid Losses, Trump Turns On the Media
Voters’ Distrust Adds Volatility To the Election
Activists Fear a Shift in Focus Could Alter Priorities
TRUMP TELLS U.N. IRAN FACES A RISK OF ANNIHILATION
India Squeezed on Oil
Leaders in Tech Clash Over Ways to Train
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-27:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-27:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP