NYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026
In the week ending Sep 27, 2026, 7 of the 13 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 72%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Vote / Voter / Votes | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fear | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| World | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 54%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Tech | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gulf | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
5 matches for “War”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
A Faraway War Brings Guyana An Oil Windfall
An Uprooted ‘Cherry Orchard’ War Scars a Lebanese City
THREATS BEYOND WARS
A Dispute From World War II
Netanyahu Defends Wars And Calls Critics ‘Phony’
Where the listed words were said
TRUMP TELLS U.N. IRAN FACES A RISK OF ANNIHILATION
Voters’ Distrust Adds Volatility To the Election
Activists Fear a Shift in Focus Could Alter Priorities
Iran Will Not Be Bullied, Its President Vows at U.N.
Leaders in Tech Clash Over Ways to Train
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-27:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-27:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP