NYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026

In the week ending Sep 27, 2026, 7 of the 13 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes1111✓72%n=14 from settlement history–
Vote / Voter / Votes Yes33✓58%n=3 from settlement history–
Fear Yes33✓56%n=8 from settlement history–
World Yes33✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran Yes22✓58%n=9 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes22✓54%n=5 from settlement history–
Tech Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Space No00✓56%n=2 from settlement history–
Ballroom No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Gulf No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
NATO No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Apple No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Peace No00✓38%n=5 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Print page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.

3 matches for “Center”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Monday, September 21other

Kennedy Center, an Oasis Of Art, Wilts Under Trump

Saturday, September 26other

Kennedy Center Killed Repairs Of Leaks, Whistle-Blowers Say

Saturday, September 26other

A Party Is Feeling Unified Next Frontier for Data Centers Ready to Win at U.S.C.

Where the listed words were said

Tuesday, September 22other“Trump”

A Response to Trump’s Exclusion of CNN

Thursday, September 24other“Vote / Voter / Votes”

Voters’ Distrust Adds Volatility To the Election

Wednesday, September 23other“Fear”

Activists Fear a Shift in Focus Could Alter Priorities

Tuesday, September 22other“World”

A Dispute From World War II

Wednesday, September 23other“Iran”

TRUMP TELLS U.N. IRAN FACES A RISK OF ANNIHILATION

Monday, September 21other“Oil / Gas / Gasoline”

A Faraway War Brings Guyana An Oil Windfall

Friday, September 25other“Tech”

Leaders in Tech Clash Over Ways to Train

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-27:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-27:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP