American Express (AXP): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2026
On its Jul 24, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), American Express said 16 of the 34 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 34 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
34 words · 16 settled yes · our count agreed on 34 of 34- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi - Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter 10+ times | Yes | 31 | 31 | ✓ | 82%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 0:51, Quarter 10+ times | – |
| Acquisition | Yes | 18 | 18 | ✓ | 92%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 4:57, Acquisition | – |
| Expense | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 94%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 3:31, Expense | – |
| Refresh | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 96%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 3:11, Refresh | – |
| Restaurant | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 84%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 6:46, Restaurant | – |
| NII / Net Interest Income | Yes | 9 | 11 | ✓ | 90%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 17:07, NII / Net Interest Income | – |
| NFL | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | 40%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 6:57, NFL | – |
| Millennial | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 92%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 4:47, Millennial | – |
| Airline | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 88%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 13:38, Airline | – |
| Retention | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 87%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 4:37, Retention | – |
| Lounge | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 84%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 6:37, Lounge | – |
| Commercial | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 83%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 14:19, Commercial | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 60%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 31:47, Fraud | – |
| Luxury | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 45%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 6:38, Luxury | – |
| Amazon | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 44%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 49:50, Amazon | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 36%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 8:54, OpenAI / ChatGPT | – |
| Income 10+ times | No | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 7%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 11:27, Income 10+ times | – |
| Regulation / Regulatory | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 67%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Currency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Stablecoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Basel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Volatility | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Inventory | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Cybersecurity | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Coinbase | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Reservation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Wealth | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Automation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Crypto | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Nordstrom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Spending Trend | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Blockchain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Fiscal 10+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 2%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
16 matches for “Expense”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…kick in over time, we expect fee revenues to increase and VCE expense growth to moderate. By focusing on bringing in high credit quality premium…
…credit risk management, and drive operating leverage across our marketing and operating expenses. The combination of high revenue growth, strong credit performance, and disciplined expense…
…and Gold Card members, and we launched the pilot of our new expense management platform to initial group of middle-market customers. We've been executing the…
…over three years. The combination of top-line momentum, excellent credit, and disciplined expense management have together supported 11% revenue growth and 14% EPS growth through…
…rate was flat versus last quarter, while the delinquency rate declined. Provision expense of $1.1 billion included a reserve release of $191 million, mostly reflecting…
Where the listed words were said
…contains non-GAAP financial measures. Comparable GAAP financial measures are included in this quarter's earnings materials, as well as the prior period earnings materials discussed today.…
…while at the same time being able to invest more in customer acquisition and technology over the course of the year as we capitalize on…
…account with us, we see a long runway for growth. Turning to expenses on slide 18. Marketing and OpEx each grew 6% in the quarter,…
…said this before, it's worth repeating. When we invest in a product refresh, we expect to realize the full benefits a year or two after…
…acquired Resy, Tock, and our proposed acquisition of TheFork, a leading online restaurant booking platform which would add 50,000 restaurants to our dining network across…
…in the quarter, the highest level we have seen since we increased our focus on premium products. Net interest income was up 11% this quarter.
Yeah. Look, thanks for the question, Craig. When we think about the NFL, Fanatics, and the other sponsorships that we have, the NBA, Formula 1,…
…of new consumer Platinum Card accounts outside the U.S. are coming from millennials and Gen Zs. This approach to innovating our premium value propositions has…
…in the quarter. Restaurant spending, our largest T&E category, was up 10%. Airline spending picked up further from the strong growth we saw in Q1,…
…quantitatively and qualitatively? Can we sort of think through what the one-to-two-year retention rates are on new customers versus what you've seen historically? Also, to…
…example, the Platinum Card is designed for customers who value premium travel and lifestyle perks, like airport lounge access, luxury hotel benefits, and one-of-a-kind experiences.
…largest share of U.S. consumer spending, remained our fastest-growing cohorts this quarter. Commercial spending picked up to 5%, with both U.S. SME and large and…
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