Will American Express say “Regulation / Regulatory”?

American Express did not say “Regulation / Regulatory” on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 3, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Regulation / Regulatory” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

34%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

American Express

Regulation / Regulatory

Probability
34% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christophe Le Cailleccompanyprepared · 17:40Hear it 17:37, Christophe Le Caillec In transcript

…modestly positive. As we evaluate the proposal in the CapEx or other regulatory considerations, we are encouraged by the first discussion of modernizing the tailoring…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christophe Le CailleccompanypreparedIn transcript

…count by 7% since then. While maintaining capital well in excess of regulatory minimum levels. This demonstrates our confidence in the sustainability of earnings generated…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 17, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Stephen SquericompanyqaIn transcript

…know, internationally, has its own set of challenges and own set of regulations. I think sometimes, you know, the regulations can make it a little…

Stephen SquericompanyqaIn transcript

…you know, the bill will be signed today in terms of overall regulation. And there's more to play out. But I think what you will…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026Regulation / RegulatoryKalshiNo0
Jul 24, 2026Regulation / RegulatoryKalshiNo0
Apr 23, 2026Regulation / RegulatoryKalshiYes1
Jan 30, 2026Regulation / RegulatoryKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did American Express say “Regulation / Regulatory” on its last earnings call?
American Express did not say “Regulation / Regulatory” on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 3, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does American Express say “Regulation / Regulatory”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Regulation / Regulatory” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026.
What is the probability American Express says “Regulation / Regulatory” next time?
34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “American Express: ‘Regulation / Regulatory’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AXP/words/regulation-or-regulatory (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-express&word=regulation%20%2F%20regulatory · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-express&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP