American Express (AXP)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 83 word markets on American Express’ earnings calls since 2025, on 40 different words; most reliably said: “NII / Net Interest Income” (5 of 5).
History Wall
1–40 of 40, most settled first| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lounge | 4 times: Lounge, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Lounge, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 10 times: Lounge, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Lounge, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Lounge, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Lounge, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Lounge, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Lounge, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 33/7842% | 81%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Millennial | 5 times: Millennial, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 11 times: Millennial, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: Millennial, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Millennial, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Millennial, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 12 times: Millennial, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: Millennial, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Millennial, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 29/7837% | 92%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| NII / Net Interest Income | 4 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: NII / Net Interest Income, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 7 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 9 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: NII / Net Interest Income, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 73/7894% | 94%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Blockchain | 0 times: Blockchain, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Blockchain, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 3/784% | 9%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Coinbase | 0 times: Coinbase, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Coinbase, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 3 times: Coinbase, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Coinbase, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Coinbase, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Coinbase, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Coinbase, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Coinbase, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/781% | 11%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Currency | 4 times: Currency, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Currency, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 11 times: Currency, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Currency, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Currency, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Currency, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Currency, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Currency, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 2/825% | 1/812% | 28/7836% | 13%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Spending Trend | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Spending Trend, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Spending Trend, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 20/7826% | 11%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Stablecoin | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 8 times: Stablecoin, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Stablecoin, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 1/812% | 0/80% | 3/784% | 11%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulation / Regulatory | 1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 3 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 4/850% | 3/838% | 53/7868% | 34%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Dunkin | 0 times: Dunkin, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Dunkin, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Dunkin, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Dunkin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Dunkin, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Dunkin, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Dunkin, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Dunkin, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 2/825% | 0/80% | 2/783% | 18%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Amazon | 0 times: Amazon, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Amazon, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 2 times: Amazon, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Amazon, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Amazon, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Amazon, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Amazon, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 4 times: Amazon, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 1/812% | 15/7819% | 70%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 2 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 6 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/784% | 74%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| NFL | 0 times: NFL, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: NFL, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: NFL, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: NFL, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: NFL, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 3 times: NFL, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: NFL, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: NFL, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/784% | 77%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Rate Cap / 10% Capnever said | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Rate Cap / 10% Cap, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/780% | 10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Basel | 0 times: Basel, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Basel, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Basel, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Basel, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Basel, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Basel, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Basel, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Basel, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 13/7817% | 17%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Trumpnever said | 0 times: Trump, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/780% | 10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Acquisition | 20 times: Acquisition, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 14 times: Acquisition, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 6 times: Acquisition, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 9 times: Acquisition, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 12 times: Acquisition, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 10 times: Acquisition, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 18 times: Acquisition, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 8 times: Acquisition, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 77/7899% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Airline | 4 times: Airline, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 4 times: Airline, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 8 times: Airline, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Airline, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Airline, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Airline, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Airline, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: Airline, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 52/7867% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Commercial | 4 times: Commercial, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Commercial, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Commercial, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Commercial, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Commercial, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 11 times: Commercial, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Commercial, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: Commercial, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 62/7879% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Digital | 1 time: Digital, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Digital, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 8 times: Digital, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Digital, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Digital, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Digital, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Digital, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Digital, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 4/850% | 56/7872% | 81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Expenseevery call | 16 times: Expense, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 15 times: Expense, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 13 times: Expense, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 10 times: Expense, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 22 times: Expense, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 13 times: Expense, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 16 times: Expense, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 12 times: Expense, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 78/78100% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Fraud | 0 times: Fraud, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Fraud, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Fraud, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Fraud, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 2 times: Fraud, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 6 times: Fraud, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Fraud, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Fraud, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 14/7818% | 67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Luxury | 0 times: Luxury, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Luxury, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Luxury, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Luxury, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Luxury, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Luxury, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Luxury, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Luxury, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 6/788% | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Platinum3+ times | 0 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q4’24 Jan '25 | 4 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 29 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 32 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 24 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Platinum (3+ times), Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 5/862% | 30/7838% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Quarterevery call 10+ times | 45 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 46 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 31 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 45 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 20 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 38 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 31 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 53 times: Quarter 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 78/78100% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Refresh | 10 times: Refresh, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 23 times: Refresh, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 26 times: Refresh, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 31 times: Refresh, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 18 times: Refresh, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Refresh, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 14 times: Refresh, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Refresh, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 35/7845% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Restaurant | 1 time: Restaurant, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 9 times: Restaurant, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Restaurant, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Restaurant, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 7 times: Restaurant, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Restaurant, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 14 times: Restaurant, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 8 times: Restaurant, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 29/7837% | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Retention | 1 time: Retention, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 5 times: Retention, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 3 times: Retention, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 8 times: Retention, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: Retention, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Retention, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Retention, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Retention, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 30/7838% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Automation | 0 times: Automation, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Automation, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Automation, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Automation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Automation, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Automation, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Automation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Automation, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 12/7815% | 25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Crypto | 0 times: Crypto, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Crypto, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Crypto, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Crypto, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Crypto, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Crypto, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Crypto, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Crypto, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 2/783% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Cybersecurity | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Cybersecurity, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Cybersecurity, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/781% | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Fiscalnever said 10+ times | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/780% | 2%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Income10+ times | 2 times: Income 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, below the threshold | 3 times: Income 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, below the threshold | 1 time: Income 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, below the threshold | 2 times: Income 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, below the threshold | 1 time: Income 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, below the threshold | 2 times: Income 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, below the threshold | 7 times: Income 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | 2 times: Income 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, below the threshold | rising | 0/80% | 0/80% | 11/7814% | 9%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Inventory | 0 times: Inventory, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Inventory, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Inventory, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Inventory, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Inventory, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Inventory, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Inventory, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Inventory, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 2/825% | 0/80% | 8/7810% | 17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Nordstromnever said | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Nordstrom, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/780% | 11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulation | 0 times: Regulation, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Regulation, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 3 times: Regulation, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Regulation, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Regulation, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Regulation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Regulation, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 1/812% | 0/80% | 30/7838% | 15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Reservation | 0 times: Reservation, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Reservation, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Reservation, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Reservation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Reservation, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Reservation, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Reservation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Reservation, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 14/7818% | 25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 2/783% | 15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Volatility | 1 time: Volatility, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Volatility, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Volatility, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Volatility, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Volatility, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Volatility, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Volatility, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 3/838% | 0/80% | 24/7831% | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Wealth | 0 times: Wealth, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 4 times: Wealth, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Wealth, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Wealth, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Wealth, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Wealth, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Wealth, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Wealth, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 1/812% | 0/80% | 4/785% | 15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 83 of 83 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 34 | 16 yes · 18 no | 34/34 (100%) |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 5 yes · 6 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “American Express (AXP): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AXP (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/american-express · words: /api/v1/history?entity=american-express · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP