Will American Express say “Fraud”?
American Express did not say “Fraud” on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 6, 3, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Fraud” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
American Express
Fraud
- Probability
- 67% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…then we talked about it from an e-commerce perspective, I think we're even more advantaged from an e-commerce perspective, both from a fraud and data.
…critically important. Look, we have used AI in credit and risk and fraud for 15, 16 years. Now what we are doing is how do…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…and risk capabilities, we are well positioned to deliver intent-driven authorizations, enhanced fraud protection and strong security features to help protect our card members and…
…Data is a king from a service perspective, an identification perspective, a fraud perspective, a credit perspective, data is king. And when you look at…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…will enable greater personalization in marketing, improve servicing experiences, augment our industry-leading fraud capabilities, and enable new GenAI and AgenTic use cases. The new platform,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Fraud |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did American Express say “Fraud” on its last earnings call?
- American Express did not say “Fraud” on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 6, 3, 0 times.
- How often does American Express say “Fraud”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Fraud” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026.
- What is the probability American Express says “Fraud” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “American Express: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AXP/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-express&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-express&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP