Will American Express say “Volatility”?

American Express did not say “Volatility” on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, American Express did not say “Volatility” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

American Express

Volatility

Probability
24% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Christophe Le CailleccompanyqaIn transcript

…we're running LTU limited time offers or not. And so that drives volatility from one quarter to another. And as you saw, Q4 last year…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 17, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Sanjay SakhranianalystqaIn transcript

…then just sort of along the lines, if we do see some volatility or weakness in spending and revenues, how far do you want to…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Erika NajariananalystqaIn transcript

…wondering whether or not the resilience had sort of carried through, even though we had all the headline risk and stock market volatility in March?

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Stephen SquericompanyqaIn transcript

…is going to perform in 2025, but it's the source of the volatility for sure. And we provided some of the details in the past,…

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 24, 2026VolatilityPolymarketNo0

Questions

How many times did American Express say “Volatility” on its last earnings call?
American Express did not say “Volatility” on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does American Express say “Volatility”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, American Express did not say “Volatility” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026.
What is the probability American Express says “Volatility” next time?
24%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “American Express: ‘Volatility’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AXP/words/volatility (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-express&word=volatility · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-express&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP