Will American Express say “Commercial”?
American Express said “Commercial” 3 times on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 2, 5, 11, 4, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Commercial” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
American Express
Commercial
- Probability
- 89% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Platinum refresh, spend retention remains at 99% for the portfolio. Turning to commercial, spend was up 3% this quarter. Excluding the impact of the co-brand…
Yeah. When you look at the commercial space, there is really three segments. One we call SME, but it is really small, and it is…
Counts: anyone
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…largest share of U.S. consumer spending, remained our fastest-growing cohorts this quarter. Commercial spending picked up to 5%, with both U.S. SME and large and…
…for the question, Don. Look, I think we announced a very aggressive commercial card roadmap earlier in the year. I think you're seeing a little…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…In the quarter, we announced a road map for a series of commercial products and solutions that we're planning to roll out in the U.S.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Commercial |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did American Express say “Commercial” on its last earnings call?
- American Express said “Commercial” 3 times on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 2, 5, 11, 4, 3 times.
- How often does American Express say “Commercial”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Commercial” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026.
- What is the probability American Express says “Commercial” next time?
- 89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “American Express: ‘Commercial’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AXP/words/commercial (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-express&word=commercial · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-express&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP