Will American Express say “Airline”?

American Express said “Airline” 3 times on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 4, 8, 6, 1, 5, 4, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Airline” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 87% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

87%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

American Express

Airline

Probability
87% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Christophe Le CailleccompanypreparedIn transcript

…7% this quarter. Discretionary spending was strong, with T&E up 10% year-over-year. Airline spending accelerated to 13%, while restaurants, our largest T&E category, saw spend…

Christophe Le CailleccompanyqaIn transcript

…seeing 9.4% billing growth and very strong growth in discretionary categories such as T&E and airline. A lot of momentum and strength in our billings.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Christophe Le Cailleccompanyprepared · 13:40Hear it 13:40, Christophe Le Caillec In transcript

…in the quarter. Restaurant spending, our largest T&E category, was up 10%. Airline spending picked up further from the strong growth we saw in Q1,…

Christophe Le Cailleccompanyprepared · 18:37Hear it 18:31, Christophe Le Caillec In transcript

…spend than we expected coming into the year, including in categories like airlines, where customers earn and use rewards. These factors are contributing to a…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Christophe Le Cailleccompanyprepared · 10:30Hear it 10:29, Christophe Le Caillec In transcript

…spending was up 9% once again this quarter. At the same time, airline spending picked up, growing 8% -- growing 8%, sorry, driven by higher…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 17, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 24, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 24, 2026AirlinePolymarketYes4

Questions

How many times did American Express say “Airline” on its last earnings call?
American Express said “Airline” 3 times on its Oct 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 4, 8, 6, 1, 5, 4, 3 times.
How often does American Express say “Airline”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, American Express said “Airline” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026.
What is the probability American Express says “Airline” next time?
87%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “American Express: ‘Airline’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AXP/words/airline (CC BY 4.0)

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