Meta (META): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025
On its Oct 29, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Meta said 10 of the 21 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 21 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
21 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 21- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi - Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threads | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Ray-Ban | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Cloud | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 52%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Advertising | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Oakley | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 40%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Llama | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Hiring | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 76%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Dividend | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 72%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Orion | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| China | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Channel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Algorithm | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| VR / Virtual Reality | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Hyperion | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Behemoth | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| TikTok | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Antitrust | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Maverick | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Scout | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
7 matches for “Reality”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…paid messaging revenue growth as well as meta verified subscriptions. Within our Reality Labs segment, Q3 revenue was $470 million, up 74% year-over-year. The significant…
…up 8% year-over-year, driven by hiring in priority areas of monetization, infrastructure, Reality Labs, Meta Superintelligence Labs as well as regulation and compliance. Third quarter…
…expectation for continued strong ad revenue growth partially offset by lower year-over-year Reality Labs revenue in Q4. The anticipated reduction in Reality Labs revenue is…
…all this CapEx? That's the first one. Second one is a little faster. How large is the Reality Labs revenue headwind in the 4Q guidance?
…revenue performance throughout the year. On your second question, which is the Reality Labs revenue headwind. I don't think we have quantified the exact size…
Where the listed words were said
…and we're seeing good momentum across our other apps as well, including Threads which recently passed 150 million daily actives and remains on track to…
…the first, daily actives continue to grow year-over-year across Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp. We're continuing to see improvements to our products and recommendations drive incremental…
…AI glasses, and the response so far has been great. The new Ray-Ban Meta glasses and Oakley Meta Vanguards are both selling well. As people…
…these needs, both by building our own infrastructure and contracting with third-party cloud providers. We anticipate this will provide further upward pressure on our CapEx…
…we make across the family of apps and improve the recommendations and advertising. And I think there's just a -- as we've shown, there's sort…
…pieces here. One is that the work on Ray-Ban Meta and the Oakley Meta product is going very well. I think, yes, I mean, at…
…that as we improve the quality of the model, primarily for post-training Llama 4 at this point. We are -- we continue to see improvements…
…billion of our Class A common stock and paid $1.3 billion in dividends to shareholders. We ended the quarter with $44.4 billion in cash and…
…things like the more full field of view, product form of the Orion prototype that we showed at Connect last year. So those things are…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/meta:2025-10-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=meta:2025-10-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP