Will Meta say “Dividend”?
Meta said “Dividend” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Dividend” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (60%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 73¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meta
Dividend
- Probability
- 44% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…today we announced plans to create a new class of non-voting capital stock, which will be distributed to all existing shareholders through a stock dividend.
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…billion of our Class A common stock and paid $1.3 billion in dividends to shareholders. We ended the quarter with $44.4 billion in cash and…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…billion of our Class A common stock and paid $1.3 billion in dividends to shareholders. We also made $15.1 billion in nonmarketable equity investments in…
…shares as part of the sort of buyback program that offsets equity compensation and as well as provide quarterly cash dividend distributions to our investors.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Dividend |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Dividend |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dividend | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dividend | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Dividend | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Dividend | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Dividend | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Dividend | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Meta say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
- Meta said “Dividend” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Meta say “Dividend”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Dividend” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (60%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Meta says “Dividend” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP