Will Meta say “China”?
Meta did not say “China” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meta
China
- Probability
- 18% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…negative in Q1, as we lapped a period of strong spend from China-based advertisers that were promoting a larger volume of game titles in Q1…
Thanks. I'll just throw in two. I think you called out the China-based retailers as one sort of potentially soft advertising vertical. Anything else you'd…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…light of some of the recent news, the new competitor DeepSeek from China, I think it also just puts -- it's one of the things…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Meta say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Meta did not say “China” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Meta say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Meta says “China” next time?
- 18%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP