Will Meta say “Orion”?

Meta did not say “Orion” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Orion” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (40%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

19%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meta

Orion

Probability
19% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Mark ZuckerbergcompanyqaIn transcript

…things like the more full field of view, product form of the Orion prototype that we showed at Connect last year. So those things are…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Mark Elliot ZuckerbergcompanyqaIn transcript

…the kind of wide holographic field of view like we showed with Orion or just a smaller display that might be good for displaying some…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark ZuckerbergcompanyqaIn transcript

…kind of holographic displays that we started showing in the prototype for Orion. But now I think it's pretty clear that AI is actually going…

Mark ShmulikanalystqaIn transcript

…looking out, as you kind of track the progress of smart glasses, Orion and so forth, do you view that as a better form factor…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026OrionPolymarketNo0
Jul 29, 2026OrionKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026OrionKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026OrionKalshiNo0
Oct 29, 2025OrionPolymarketYes1
Oct 29, 2025OrionKalshiYes1
Jul 30, 2025OrionKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Meta say “Orion” on its last earnings call?
Meta did not say “Orion” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Meta say “Orion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Orion” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (40%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025.
What is the probability Meta says “Orion” next time?
19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘Orion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/orion (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=orion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP