Will Meta say “Hiring”?
Meta did not say “Hiring” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Hiring” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (60%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 21¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meta
Hiring
- Probability
- 45% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…impact of headcount optimization efforts in certain functions was partially offset by hiring in priority areas of monetization and infrastructure. First quarter operating income was…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Q4 with over 78,800 employees, up 6% year over year, driven by hiring in priority areas of infrastructure, Meta Superintelligence were $22.1 billion, driven by…
…through our capacity options. And, of course, it remains a very competitive hiring market but we'd like to invest aggressively where we can. We continue…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…We ended Q3 with over 78,400 employees, up 8% year-over-year, driven by hiring in priority areas of monetization, infrastructure, Reality Labs, Meta Superintelligence Labs as…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Hiring |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Hiring |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hiring | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hiring | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Hiring | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Hiring | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hiring | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hiring | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Meta say “Hiring” on its last earnings call?
- Meta did not say “Hiring” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Meta say “Hiring”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Hiring” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (60%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Meta says “Hiring” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘Hiring’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/hiring (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=hiring · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP