Will Meta say “Threads”?
Meta said “Threads” 4 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 8, 7, 6, 10, 4, 3, 3, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Threads” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meta
Threads
- Probability
- 90% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…engagement on both Facebook and Instagram, driven by strong growth in video. Threads has now overtaken X in monthly actives and continues to grow quickly.…
…put this in perspective, this is more than twice the level that Threads started at, or where we believe that other AI apps started at…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…each day. We reached several milestones. Instagram reached 2 billion daily actives. Threads crossed 500 million monthly actives, making it the fastest-growing conversation app ever.…
…to the people who will find them interesting, as we've done with Threads. It's been a little more than a year since we launched Meta…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…WhatsApp continues to see strong momentum too, including in the U.S., and Threads continues on its trajectory to be the leading app in its category.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Thread / Threads |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Thread / Threads | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Threads |  Polymarket | Yes | 10 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Threads | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Threads | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Threads | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Threads | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How many times did Meta say “Threads” on its last earnings call?
- Meta said “Threads” 4 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 8, 7, 6, 10, 4, 3, 3, 4 times.
- How often does Meta say “Threads”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Threads” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Meta says “Threads” next time?
- 90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘Threads’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/thread (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=thread · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP