Will Meta say “TikTok”?
Meta did not say “TikTok” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta did not say “TikTok” on any of the 6 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 11% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 6¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceMeta
TikTok
- Probability
- 11% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…year as well. We're going to learn what's going to happen with TikTok, and regardless of that I expect Reels on Instagram and Facebook to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Apr 29, 2026 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Oct 29, 2025 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Oct 29, 2025 | TikTok | No | 0 | |
| Apr 30, 2025 | TikTok | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Meta say “TikTok” on its last earnings call?
- Meta did not say “TikTok” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Meta say “TikTok”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta did not say “TikTok” on any of the 6 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Meta says “TikTok” next time?
- 11%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘TikTok’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/tiktok (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=tiktok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP