Will Reza Pahlavi say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
49%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Reza Pahlavi
Trump
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Reza Pahlavi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Reza Pahlavi say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Reza Pahlavi says “Trump” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Reza Pahlavi: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/reza-pahlavi/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP