Will Reza Pahlavi say “Transition / Transitional”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Transition / Transitional” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Reza Pahlavi
Transition / Transitional
- Probability
- 55% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Reza Pahlavi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Transition / Transitional |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Transition / Transitional | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Transition / Transitional | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Transition / Transitional | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Reza Pahlavi say “Transition / Transitional”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Transition / Transitional” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Reza Pahlavi says “Transition / Transitional” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Reza Pahlavi: ‘Transition / Transitional’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/reza-pahlavi/words/transition-or-transitional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=transition%20%2F%20transitional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP