Will Reza Pahlavi say “Nuclear”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Nuclear” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (75%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

52%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Reza Pahlavi

Nuclear

Probability
52% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Reza Pahlavi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Reza Pahlavi say during his CPAC discussion? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Reza Pahlavi say during his NewsNation interview? · settled no

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What will Reza Pahlavi say during his Fox News interview? · settled yes

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What will Reza Pahlavi say during 60 Minutes? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 28, 2026NuclearKalshiYes
Mar 14, 2026NuclearKalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026NuclearKalshiYes
Mar 2, 2026NuclearKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Reza Pahlavi say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Nuclear” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (75%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026.
What is the probability Reza Pahlavi says “Nuclear” next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Reza Pahlavi: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/reza-pahlavi/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP