Will Reza Pahlavi say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Nuclear” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (75%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
52%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceReza Pahlavi
Nuclear
- Probability
- 52% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Reza Pahlavi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shownQuestions
- How often does Reza Pahlavi say “Nuclear”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Reza Pahlavi said “Nuclear” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (75%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Reza Pahlavi says “Nuclear” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Reza Pahlavi: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/reza-pahlavi/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP