Will Reza Pahlavi say “Hormuz”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Reza Pahlavi did not say “Hormuz” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
42%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Reza Pahlavi
Hormuz
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Reza Pahlavi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Reza Pahlavi say “Hormuz”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Reza Pahlavi did not say “Hormuz” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Reza Pahlavi says “Hormuz” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Reza Pahlavi: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/reza-pahlavi/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reza-pahlavi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP