60 Minutes: Episode, Mar 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Reza Pahlavi say during 60 Minutes?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolution | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transition / Transitional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iraq / Iraqi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UN / United Nations / NATO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKX60MINMENTION-26MAR02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP