Will “Violent / Violence” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Violent / Violence” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Violent / Violence
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Q11. A recent BBC “Disclosure” documentary exposed violence, open drug dealing, child exploitation, and a staggering 1,200 sexual offences recorded in Glasgow city centre in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, going after those who incite violence on our streets. Everyone deserves to live with security, dignity and freedom.…
…record is wrecking our criminal justice system; our record is bringing down violent crime. Their record is millions of people stuck on NHS waiting lists;…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Gallery today. It is really important that we keep our focus on violence against women and girls, and I will make sure the meeting she…
…powers to clamp down on malign state activity that incites hatred and violence, and we will take further steps. I am proud to lead this…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Violent / Violence | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Violent / Violence” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Violent / Violence” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Violent / Violence” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Violent / Violence’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/violence-or-violent (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=violence%20%2F%20violent · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP