Will “Treasury” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Treasury” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Treasury
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…The truth of the matter is, the revenue that comes into the Treasury from this decision will enable us to speed up the roll-out of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…at risk. He also said that Keir Starmer was “unable”, and the Treasury “unwilling”, to provide that funding. So is the Prime Minister unable, or…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Environment, Food and Rural Affairs; he was a senior Minister in the Treasury on the day of the Truss Budget. The right hon. Lady mentions…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Tories’ failed period in government. His colleagues now accept that. The former Treasury Minister, the former Communities Secretary, the former Health Minister and the former…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…next day, the Defence Secretary resigned, saying the Prime Minister was “unable” and the Treasury “unwilling” to fund the defence of our country. What changed?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Treasury |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Treasury” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Treasury” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Treasury” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Treasury’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/treasury (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=treasury · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP