Will “Tory” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tory” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Tory
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the hon. Member still needs to engage with the facts about the Tories’ failed period in government. His colleagues now accept that. The former Treasury…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…work can now start. Let us be frank about this hospital. The Tories promised 40 new hospitals with no funding and no delivery plan, and…
…pleased with our new Member of Parliament. In Gorton and Denton, the Tories got 1.9% of the vote. I congratulate her because they got 2.2%…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tory |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Tory / Tories | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Tory” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tory” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Tory” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Tory’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/tory (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=tory · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP