Will “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Resign / Resigned / Resignation
- Probability
- 24% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to spending 3% of GDP on defence by 2030. People used to resign over this. I see that he is not here today—he is still…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…are some serious threats to national security that cannot wait. His Chancellor resigned as Defence Secretary because the Labour Government would not increase defence spending…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the Liberal Democrats in urging the Chancellor to delay the hon. Member’s resignation until the investigation is complete, so that the good people of Clacton…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Defence Secretary, the right hon. Member for Rawmarsh and Conisbrough (John Healey), resigned saying, “I am being forced to make decisions that would…increase the risk…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that everything was under control. The very next day, the Defence Secretary resigned, saying the Prime Minister was “unable” and the Treasury “unwilling” to fund…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Resign / Resigned / Resignation |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Resign / Resigned / Resignation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Resign / Resigned / Resignation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Resign / Resigned / Resignation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/resign-or-resignation-or-resigned (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=resign%20%2F%20resignation%20%2F%20resigned · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP