Will “Opposition / Opposite” be said 5+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Opposition / Opposite” was not said 5+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Opposition / Opposite 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I call the Leader of the Opposition.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…combined authority, in response to a call from the Leader of the Opposition and others, to set out a full statement of my key dealings…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I call the Leader of the Opposition.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I call the Leader of the Opposition.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…things I did on Friday was to phone the Leader of the Opposition and the leader and deputy leader of Reform to express my condolences…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Opposition / Opposite 5+ times |  Polymarket | No | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Opposition / Opposite 5+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Opposition / Opposite” was not said 5+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Opposition / Opposite 5+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Opposition / Opposite 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/opposite-or-opposition-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
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