Will “North Sea” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “North Sea” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
North Sea
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…He was right. Does the Prime Minister accept that every barrel of North sea oil that we produce is a barrel that Europe will not…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…would approve the Rosebank and Jackdaw oil and gas fields in the North sea. What is he waiting for? If he had approved them back…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…now. Argentina is threatening the Falklands—now. Russia is threatening us in the North sea—now. The Prime Minister did not answer my question. I asked him…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | North Sea |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “North Sea” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “North Sea” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “North Sea” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘North Sea’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/north-sea (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=north%20sea · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP