Will “Military” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Military” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Military
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Of course I have concerns about any move that diminishes the military capability of Ukraine in the position in which it finds itself. The right…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…afternoon. Our support for Ukraine is unwavering. I have asked for further military and financial support to be drawn up ready for the coming weeks.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…about anything except defence, including council housing. He will not fund the military. I will tell you what he is funding though, Mr Speaker—Keir Starmer’s…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the defence investment plan. The plan refers to Skynet 6A, the first military satellite to be designed, manufactured and tested completely in the UK, beginning…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Military |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Military” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Military” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Military” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Military’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/military (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=military · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP