Will “Middle East” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Middle East” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Middle East
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…inflation. She may notice that there is a situation ongoing in the middle east of which we do not have full control. What I can…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…studies asked me about everything from climate change to war in the middle east. One young woman asked how young people can know they are…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of the two-state solution and the effect that would have on the middle east should concern us all. The risk is that it is dying…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Middle East |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Middle East” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Middle East” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Middle East” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP