Will “Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I call the leader of the Liberal Democrats
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I call the leader of the Liberal Democrats.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
And watching Warrington Wolves, I hope. I call the leader of the Liberal Democrats.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…125 questions from MPs across the House. Of course, Labour and the Lib Dems just wanted more Government spending—that is, taxpayers’ money—but can he name…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I call Sir Ed Davey, the leader of the Liberal Democrats.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/lib-dem-or-liberal-democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=lib%20dem%20%2F%20liberal%20democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP