Will “Labour” be said 3+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Labour” was said 3+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Labour 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…2022. Rather than fighting the leftie activists who tried to block it, Labour appointed one of them as Energy Secretary. So many jobs lost, and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…incredibly moved by the Prime Minister’s tribute to his late father at Labour party conference, and I wish to pass on my personal condolences to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…security that cannot wait. His Chancellor resigned as Defence Secretary because the Labour Government would not increase defence spending to 3% by 2030. Does the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…put through significant distress throughout this process? Can he also assure them that, unlike the Labour precedent, there will be no Government U-turn on this?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to those who fight for justice—a law for everyone, delivered by a Labour Government in the best traditions of the labour movement. This morning, I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Labour 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “Labour 3+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Labour” was said 3+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Labour 3+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Labour 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/labour-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
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