Will “Ireland” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ireland” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Ireland
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…deal for food producers, for farmers in this country and for Northern Ireland in relation to energy costs there, as well as, hopefully, more co-operation…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…wait for the Budget. We are keen to support high streets and hospitality up and down the country—in England, Scotland, Northern Ireland and, indeed, Wales.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
The people of Northern Ireland are absolutely scundered. At the moment, we have poisonous parading disputes and border poll spats; meanwhile, the Northern Ireland Assembly…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that higher taxes are needed to fund rising welfare spending. In Northern Ireland, my party’s Communities Minister is taking action to reduce welfare fraud and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Q14. Last week in Northern Ireland, a former Member of this House was convicted of the most horrific child sexual abuse against two girls. I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ireland |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Ireland” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ireland” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ireland” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Ireland’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/ireland (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=ireland · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP