Will “Iran” be said 3+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran” was not said 3+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Iran 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Lindsay Foreman since January 2025, when they were arrested and detained by Iran, and presented with fake charges of espionage. I thank the Foreign Secretary…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that there have been 50 arrests in the last year linked to Iran, and I have to say that this Government deserve praise. They deserve…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…armed forces are not sucked into an aimless and dangerous war with Iran could—in fact, I believe they will—prove to be his most important legacy.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…partnerships with the EU and kept us out of the war in Iran. I thank my hon. Friend for the contribution that she made as…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Iran 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Iran 3+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran” was not said 3+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran 3+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Iran 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/iran-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=iran%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP