Will “Immigration” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Immigration” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 23¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Immigration
- Probability
- 18% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…must have an honest discussion about the city’s pressures, including addiction, deprivation, immigration and community cohesion. While SNP underfunding has crippled local public services, and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Minister, the former Communities Secretary, the former Health Minister and the former Immigration Minister—and that is just the right hon. Member for Newark (Robert Jenrick)—wrecked…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Immigration |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Immigration | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Immigration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Immigration | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Immigration” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Immigration” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Immigration” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 18%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP