Will “Europe / European Union / EU” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Europe / European Union / EU” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Europe / European Union / EU
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on oil and gas. If we do not produce it, Britain and Europe will buy it from Russia. In July, the Prime Minister said: “The…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…care service. I took a difficult decision about developing closer ties with Europe, supported by a majority of people in this country. Why? Because we…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…our debt than we do on defence—almost double. There is war in Europe. Yesterday, Germany confirmed that Russia was behind the attack on Leipzig airport.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the fact that, because the usual frameworks would not work—the UN; the EU, which was blocked by Hungary; and NATO, which Ukraine is not in—we…
…is attending the NATO summit. Working with our allies, we are strengthening Europe’s role in the alliance, which remains the cornerstone of our national security.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Europe / European Union / EU |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Europe / European Union / EU” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Europe / European Union / EU” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Europe / European Union / EU” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Europe / European Union / EU’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/eu-or-europe-or-european-union (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=eu%20%2F%20europe%20%2F%20european%20union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP