Will “Child” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Child” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Child
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…wonderful and devoted mum, and a full-time carer for her disabled seven-year-old child. Despite providing round-the-clock care, she received almost no support, leaving her physically…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…trade unions and community organisations in prioritising the elimination of food poverty? No child in our country should go to bed at night feeling hungry.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…my best friends, Sophie, to suicide after the birth of her third child; her little girl was just 10 weeks old at the time. Having…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…for changes to the early release scheme. We excluded rape, grooming and child sex offences, but on hearing those voices, I was not satisfied and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…fastest rate for 17 years. We have pulled a big lever on child poverty, and this Government are doing more on child poverty than any…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Child | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Child” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Child” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Child” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Child’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/child (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=child · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP