Will “Chancellor” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Chancellor” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Chancellor
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…bills. I can tell the House today that I have asked the Chancellor and the Energy Secretary to look at whether we can remove standing…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…rates for pubs, clubs and music venues by 20%, working with the Chancellor when I came into office. We are bringing forward a high streets…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…there are some serious threats to national security that cannot wait. His Chancellor resigned as Defence Secretary because the Labour Government would not increase defence…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Then, days later, with the support of my right hon. Friend the Chancellor, we said that there would be a cut in business rates for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Will the Deputy Prime Minister join the Liberal Democrats in urging the Chancellor to delay the hon. Member’s resignation until the investigation is complete, so…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Chancellor |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Chancellor” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Chancellor” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Chancellor” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Chancellor’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/chancellor (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=chancellor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP