Will “Cabinet” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Cabinet” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 27, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Cabinet
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…That is why I appointed a Minister for Artificial Intelligence to the Cabinet. We have lifted the level of conversation about artificial intelligence within Government,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the right hon. Lady and, indeed, the whole of her new shadow Cabinet, the majority of whom were part of a Government that lasted for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and rewarded them with the council job—I am not making this up—of cabinet member for healing. The Greens could start the healing process by stopping…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…before the right hon. Member carries on with any criticism of our plan, that he sat in a Cabinet that cut defence spending by 22%.
…verdict on his Energy Secretary by voting Conservative. To be fair, the Cabinet are not all traitors and deserters; some of them have been loyal—loyal…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Cabinet” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Cabinet” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 27, 2025.
- What is the probability “Cabinet” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Cabinet’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/cabinet (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=cabinet · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP