Will “British” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “British” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (33%), most recently on Nov 27, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
British
- Probability
- 35% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…This decision does strengthen our energy security. It will release gas into British homes and British industries, starting in the next few weeks, and it…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…waiting for? If he had approved them back then, we would have British gas warming British homes this winter. Will he now—[Interruption.] It is true:…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…9/11—a moment to remember the nearly 3,000 people who died, including 67 British citizens. There will be a ceremonial changing of the guard, and events…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…join Their Majesties the King and Queen and President Macron at the British Museum to celebrate the arrival of the Bayeux tapestry. The loaning of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…car and hugged me, they cheered at the top of their voices—the British people told President Zelensky exactly what they thought of him and the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shownQuestions
- How often is “British” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “British” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (33%), most recently on Nov 27, 2025.
- What is the probability “British” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘British’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/british (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=british · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP