Will “Appalling” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Appalling” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Appalling
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…had the time to read the covid inquiry report yesterday about the appalling state of social care as it went into the pandemic, the hundreds…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…lost their daughter to domestic violence of the most extreme sort in appalling circumstances, and in many ways my journey campaigning on violence against women…
…for raising it. I do want stronger standards and oversight. I think that is absolutely needed, particularly in the light of appalling cases like this.
…this awful time. My thoughts are also with those injured in the appalling attack in Edinburgh, which appears to have been motivated by anti-Muslim hatred.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Appalling |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Appalling” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Appalling” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Appalling” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Appalling’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/appalling (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=appalling · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP