Will Mark Rutte say “Ukraine”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Ukraine” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Rutte
Ukraine
- Probability
- 68% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Mark Rutte say “Ukraine”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Ukraine” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Ukraine” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Ukraine’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/ukraine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=ukraine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP