Will Mark Rutte say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte did not say “Tariff” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Rutte
Tariff
- Probability
- 41% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Mark Rutte say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte did not say “Tariff” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Tariff” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP