Will Mark Rutte say “Russia / Russian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Russia / Russian” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

71%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=russia%20%2F%20russian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Rutte

Russia / Russian

Probability
71% · n=6
Settled
6/6 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · said 4 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

4 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark Rutteguest1:54:52In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Mark Rutteguest1:57:24In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during his Atlantic Council conversation? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his NATO Press Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his address? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his Fox News Interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 24, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes4
Jul 8, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes–
Jun 25, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes–
Jun 23, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes–
May 22, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Mark Rutte say “Russia / Russian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Russia / Russian” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Russia / Russian” next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP