Will Mark Rutte say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 18, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

51%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=negotiate%20%2F%20negotiated%20%2F%20negotiation

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Rutte

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

Probability
51% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during his Atlantic Council conversation? · settled no

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled no

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What will Mark Rutte say during his Press Conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Rutte say during his NATO Press Conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during his address? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during his Fox News Interview? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 8, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiYes
Jun 25, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo
Jun 18, 2026Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mark Rutte say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 18, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/negotiate-or-negotiated-or-negotiation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=negotiate%20%2F%20negotiated%20%2F%20negotiation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP